Profit From 3 Big Energy Spinoffs

Spinoffs are a great place to search for big winners. The energy industry has been home to a few this year, and more are in the works over the next few months. Read along and I’ll explain why spinoffs are great opportunities, and give three you can take advantage of now.

Spinoffs
Spinoffs create value by simplifying company structures and enabling management to give each company its full attention. The simplified companies are also easier for investors to understand, which frequently leads to higher valuations.

In January, at a stock price of $40.53, Marathon Oil (NYSE: MRO  ) announced that it would split up its exploration and production, or E&P, business and its refining business. Shareholders received half a share of Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC  ) for each share of Marathon Oil they owned. At Thursday’s price of $31.99 for Marathon Oil and $40.10 for Marathon Petroleum, that’s a return of nearly 30%. Returns like that keep intelligent investors on the lookout for spinoffs.

So what energy spinoffs are coming up now?

1. ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP  )
ConocoPhillips is following Marathon’s lead and splitting up its E&P and refining units. This continues the restructuring the company started in October 2009 to reshape itsbalance sheet by selling non-core assets, including its 20% stake in Russia’s OAO Lukoil, its 9% stake in Syncrude Canada, and a 1,700 mile natural gas Rockies Express Pipeline, among others. By splitting up its businesses, ConocoPhillips will be the leading pure play E&P, and its spinoff will be one of the top refining companies in the U.S. The E&P business can continue to focus on increasing its per-share production and reserves, and the refining business can increase shareholder value by simplifying its asset portfolio and getting a renewed focus by management. The transaction is expected to be completed in the first half of 2012.

2. Post Brands
Bear with me. While it’s not an energy company in the traditional sense, Ralcorp (NYSE:RAH  ) is spinning off Post Brands, maker of cereals like Honey Bunches of Oats that give you energy (ta-da!) to start off your day. I realize I’m stretching the definition of energy here, but there really is a lot to like about Post Brands, so please hear me out.

Ralcorp bought Post Brands from Kraft in 2007 for $1.65 billion. The business has been doing well and is remarkably strong. In the past 12 months, Post did $950 million in sales with profit margins of more than 20%.

This past spring, ConAgra (NYSE: CAG  ) made a bid for Ralcorp for $86 per share. To fend off ConAgra, Ralcorp is loading the Post Brands business with a bit more than $1 billion in debt, keeping the cash for itself, and spinning off Post. While that might not sound very palatable for Post Brands, that’s the point. Hopefully, after the company is spun off, shareholders will sell it, creating a great buying opportunity for intelligent investors. The company’s strength should help it easily pay down the debt over time. This is one stock for your watchlist if there ever were one.

3. DryShips (Nasdaq: DRYS  )
DryShips, as you may expect, runs dry bulk ships. However, in 2007, it added more debt to its balance sheet and acquired a Norwegian oil drilling rig business called Ocean Rig. It then spent a fortune expanding its drilling rig fleet. This decision is paying off now. The dry shipping business is down in the dumps, but the oil rig business is doing well. This combination of bad business, good business, and debt has some Fools calling Dryships the greatest gamble in stocks. It gets spicier: DryShips is planning on spinning off its Ocean Rig business in the next few months. The company sold a 22% stake to investors in December for $500 million, valuing the oil rig business at just under $2.5 billion. This will be an interesting situation to watch going forward; I’d hold off on buying shares until we know more about the exact timeline and structure of the spinoff.

Foolish bottom line
Spinoffs are a great place to find overlooked opportunities. Of the three above, I believe investors should pay most attention to Post Brands. If you’re looking for an energy idea you can buy now, check out The Motley Fool’s free report, “The Only Energy Stock You’ll Ever Need.” In it, Fool analysts detail a company to profit from the global energy boom. Click hereto grab a copy.

Best Value Stocks

“Growth and value investing are joined at the hip.”

You think that’s crazy? Tell Warren Buffett. He’s the one who said it, not me.

But, of course, I think he’s right. I’m writing today because the largely semantic differences between value and growth often get lost, even here at The Fool.

Head to head
That’s because there is a temptation to equate growth investing with speculation, as fellow Fool Chuck Saletta did.

But that’s just wrong. Real growth investors don’t bet on companies whose “sky-high” expectations make it nearly impossible to produce meaningful returns. More often, gurus likeMichael Lippert of Baron iOpportunity invest in firms whose superior growth characteristics haven’t been fully recognized or rewarded by the stock market.

Value investors, on the other hand, look for stocks that trade for less than their intrinsic value, or stocks that the market has unfairly undervalued. Often, these firms are experiencing problems that investors believe to be temporary.

Both strategies, although seemingly different on the surface, operate on the premise that the market has mispriced a stock.

The obvious won’t help you
History proves that you’ll need more than math to discern what, exactly, is mispriced. Take the market’s 10 best stocksAsta Funding (Nasdaq: ASFI  ) didn’t have any earnings to report in 1998. Neither did Celgene (Nasdaq: CELG  ) . Investors longing for a below-market P/E would have missed out on the 82-bagger and 67-bagger, respectively, to come.

The very best value stocks
Stock market myth says that only value investors zig as others zag. Hogwash. Lippert owns shares of CME Group (NYSE: CME  ) , Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) , andBlue Nile (Nasdaq: NILE  ) , none of which look “cheap” by the numbers. Yet Lippert, by investing where others won’t, has doubled the return of the S&P 500 since taking over iOpportunity two years ago.

David Gardner can claim similar success. And that’s in spite of the current market malaise. Eleven stocks in David’s Motley Fool Rule Breakers portfolio have at least doubled, includingBioMarin Pharmaceutical (Nasdaq: BMRN  ) . No surprises there. It was misunderstood. It was cheap relative to its growth potential. In short: It was a value stock.

Rules breaking, fortunes in the making
So, please, don’t make the mistake of confusing growth investing with speculation. You’ll miss out on just about all of the market’s best value stocks — the misunderstood multibaggers in the making — if you do.

This article was originally published Jan. 31, 2007. It has been updated.

Click here now if you’d like to join us at Rule Breakers in our quest to find the market’s next 10 best stocks. Your pass is free for 30 days and there’s no obligation to subscribe. 

Fool contributor Tim Beyers is a sucker for growth stocks and a regular at Rule Breakers. Tim didn’t own shares in any of the stocks mentioned in this article at the time of publication. BioMarin and Blue Nile are Rule Breakers recommendations. The Motley Fool’s disclosure policy is a rebel on Wall Street.

Investing 101

Now that you know why you’re investing and how to get started, it’s time to dig deeper and pick some investments. As you may have noticed, there are several categories of investments, and many of those categories have thousands of choices within them. So finding the right ones for you isn’t a trivial matter.

The single greatest factor, by far, in growing your long-term wealth is therate of return you get on your investment. There are times, though, when you may need to park your money someplace for a short time, even though you won’t get very good returns. Here is a summary of the most common short-term savings vehicles:

Short-term savings vehicles

  • Savings account: Often the first banking product people use, savings accounts earn a small amount in interest, so they’re a little better than that dusty piggy bank on the dresser.
  • Money market funds: These are a specialized type of mutual fund that invest in extremely short-term bonds. Unlike most mutual funds, shares in a money market fund are designed to be worth $1 at all times. Money market funds usually pay betterinterest rates than a conventional savings account does, but you’ll earn less than what you could get in certificates of deposit.
  • Certificate of deposit (CD): This is a specialized deposit you make at a bank or other financial institution. The interest rate on CDs is usually about the same as that of short- or intermediate-term bonds, depending on the duration of the CD. Interest is paid at regular intervals until the CD matures, at which point you get the money you originally deposited plus the accumulated interest payments. CDs through banks are usually insured up to $100,000.

Fools are partial to investing in stocks, as opposed to other long-term investing vehicles, because stocks have historically offered the highest return on our money. Here are the most common long-term investing vehicles:

Long-term investing vehicles

  • Bonds: Bonds come in various forms. They’re known as “fixed-income” securities because the amount of income the bond generates each year is “fixed,” or set, when the bond is sold. From an investor’s point of view, bonds are similar to CDs, except that the government or corporations issue them, instead of banks.
  • Stocks: Stocks are a way for individuals to own parts of businesses. A share of stock represents a proportional share of ownership in a company. As the value of the company changes, the value of the share in that company rises and falls.
  • Mutual funds: Mutual funds are a way for investors to pool their money to buy stocks, bonds, or anything else the fund manager decides is worthwhile. Instead of managing your money yourself, you turn over the responsibility of managing that money to a professional. Unfortunately, the vast majority of such “professionals” tend to underperform the market indexes.

Retirement plans
A number of special plans are designed to create retirement savings, and many of these plans allow you to deposit money directly from your paycheck before taxes are taken out. Employers occasionally will match the amount (or a percentage of that amount) you have withheld from your paycheck up to a certain percentage of your salary. (Pssssst … that’s what we affectionately call “free money.”) Some of these plans let you withdraw money early without a penalty if you want to buy a home or pay for education. If early withdrawals are not permitted, you may be able to borrow money from the account, or take out low-interest secured loans with your retirement savings as collateral. Rates of return vary on these plans, depending on what you invest in, since you can invest in stocks, bonds, mutual funds, CDs, or any combination.

  • Individual retirement account (IRA): This is one of a group of plans that allow you to put some of your income into a tax-deferred retirement fund — you won’t pay taxes until you withdraw your funds. Withdrawals are taxed at regular income-tax rates, not at the lower capital-gains rates. All IRAs are specialized accounts (not investments) that allow the account holder to invest the money however he or she likes. If you qualify, some or all of your IRA contribution may be tax-deductible.
  • Roth IRA: This retirement account differs from the conventional IRA in that it provides no tax deduction up front on contributions. Instead, it offers total exemption from federal taxes when you cash out to pay for retirement or a first home. A Roth can also be used for certain other expenses, such as education or unreimbursed medical expenses, without incurring a penalty — although any earnings that are withdrawn are subject to income taxes unless you are more than 59 ½ years old. Not all taxpayers are eligible to contribute to a Roth IRA. You may be able to qualify if you participate in corporate retirement plans and don’t qualify for deductible contributions to the conventional IRA.
  • 401(k): A retirement savings vehicle that employers offer. It’s named for the section of the Internal Revenue Code where it’s covered. Given the tax advantages and the possibility of corporate matching — those cases when your employer matches part of your contribution — the 401(k) is well worth considering.
  • 403(b): The nonprofit version of a 401(k) plan. Local and state governments offer a457 plan.
  • Keogh: A special type of IRA that doubles as a pension plan for a self-employed person, who can put aside significantly more than the contributions allowed for an IRA.
  • Simplified Employee Pension (SEP) plan: A special kind of Keogh-individual retirement account. SEPs were created so that small businesses could set up retirement plans that were a little easier to administer than normal pension plans are. Both employees and the employer can contribute to a SEP.

Investing in stocks
It’s worth taking a closer look at stocks, because historically, they’ve had much better returns than bonds and other investments. Essentially, stock lets you own a part of a business. Dating back to the Dutch mutual stock corporations of the 16th century, the modern stock market exists as a way for entrepreneurs to finance businesses using money collected from investors. In return for ponying up the dough to finance the company, the investor becomes a part-owner of the company. That ownership is represented by stock — specialized financial “securities,” or financial instruments — that are “secured” by a claim on the assets and profits of a company.

Common stock
Common stock is aptly named — it’s the most common form of stock an investor will encounter. This is an ideal investment vehicle for individuals, because anyone can take part; there are absolutely no restrictions on who can purchase common stock — the young, the old, the savvy, the reckless. Common stock is more than just a piece of paper; it represents a proportional share of ownership in a company — a stake in a real, living, breathing business. By owning stock — the most amazing wealth-creation vehicle ever conceived (except for inheriting money from a relative you’ve never heard of) — you are a part-owner of a business.

Shareholders “own” a part of the assets of the company and part of the stream of cash those assets generate. As the company acquires more assets and the stream of cash it generates gets larger, the value of the business increases. This increase in the value of the business is what drives up the value of the stock in that business.

Because they own a part of the business, shareholders get a vote to elect theboard of directors. The board is a group of individuals who oversee major decisions the company makes. They tend to wield a lot of power in corporate America. Boards decide whether a company will invest in itself, buy other companies, pay a dividend, or repurchase stock. Top company management will give some advice, but the board makes the final decision. The board even has the power to hire and fire those managers.

As with most things in life, the potential reward from owning stock in a growing business has some possible pitfalls. Shareholders also get a full share of the risk inherent in operating the business. If things go bad, their shares of stock may decrease in value. They could even end up being worthless if the company goes bankrupt.

Different classes of stock
Occasionally, companies find it necessary to concentrate the voting power of a company into a specific class of stock, in which a certain set of people own the majority of shares. For instance, if a family business needs to raise money by selling equity, sometimes they will create a second class of stock that they control and has, say, 10 votes per share of stock, while they sell another class of stock that only has one vote per share to others.

Does this sound like a bad deal? Many investors believe it is, and they routinely avoid companies with multiple classes of voting stock. This kind of structure is most common in media companies and has been around only since 1987.

When there is more than one class of stock, they are often designated as Class A or Class B shares.

Next steps
We hope this hasn’t been the most painful thing you’ve had to read this week. You’re now conversant enough in stock-market matters to impress those who are very easily impressed. Although knowing the terms and general workings of the stock market is just the first step in your investing career, it’s useful to know that each share of stock represents a proportional share of a business, and that the potential rewards are great, but that stocks are also riskier than putting money in the bank.

Where’s the volume? Stock trading quiet in July

NEW YORK (AP) — This month may be the slowest in the stock market in more than three years.

Trading volume, or the number of shares bought and sold, is down because there are fewer big investors buying stocks. And those who want to buy are worried about the job market and the European debt crisis — and the budget impasse in Washington. If Congress and the White House don’t agree on budget cuts and raising the government’s borrowing limit, the U.S. is at risk of defaulting on its debt after Aug. 2.

Daily volume on the New York Stock Exchange is down 22 percent so far in July compared with the same period in 2010, according to data provider FactSet. About 3.7 billion shares have traded hands every day on average, down from 4.7 billion in July last year.

If that continues, July will have the lowest average daily trading volume since December 2007, says Patrick O’Shaughnessy, a research analyst at Raymond James.

Low volume is worrisome because it suggests that few investors are driving the stock market’s gains or losses. That creates the risk for bigger price swings. When, for example, there are few buyers, someone trying to sell a stock may be forced to keep lowering the price in hopes that someone will want it — the same as a homeowner who can’t find a buyer for a house.

A lack of volume also indicates that some investors don’t believe that stocks are worth buying right now.

“Volume in many respects represents conviction,” says Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank. “And there’s just very little conviction.”

Traders have reason to be wary:

— Job growth is weak. Many investors were stunned when the government reported earlier this month that employers created just 18,000 new jobs in June. That was lower than the average of 215,000 monthly jobs created in February through April.

— The manufacturing industry is in a slump, too. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank said last week that manufacturing activity in the Northeast rose only slightly in July after falling to the lowest level in two years in June. Supply disruptions from the March 11 earthquake in Japan have hurt factory production.

— Debt problems remain in the U.S. and Europe. If there’s no agreement in Washington and the government defaults on its debt, that could have a catastrophic impact on the financial markets. Some analysts say stocks could fall the way they did during the 2008 financial crisis. Meanwhile, European leaders approved a new aid package for Greece last week to reduce its debt, but it’s unclear how that will work.

All this has led investors to avoid stocks. And that has hurt volume.

In June, investors withdrew $14.5 billion more than they deposited into U.S. stock mutual funds, according to consulting firm Strategic Insight. That was the largest withdrawal from stock funds since August 2010. “Investors are running scared,” said Frank Barbera, portfolio manager of the Sierra Core Retirement Fund.

Fewer hedge funds are in existence today than in 2008, which helps to explain the lower volume, says Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer’s Investment Research. There were approximately 10,233 hedge funds in the world in the second quarter of 2008, before the financial crisis and stock market crash. By the end of June, there were 9,443, according to Chicago-based research firm HFR.

Even with the low volume, though, stocks have risen this month. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index is up 1.8 percent, while the Dow Jones industrial average is up 2.1 percent. The technology-focused Nasdaq composite index is up 3.1 percent. Stocks are up, in part, because companies like Apple Inc. and Coca-Cola Co. have reported strong profits. Second-quarter earnings are expected to rise 12.5 percent from the same period in 2010, according to FactSet.

Still, the low volume makes it difficult for investors to know when to put their money into stocks. If the S&P goes up two days in a row, but volume is low, that’s hardly an indication that a trend is emerging, Ablin said.

There’s another possible effect of low volume. As trading has been quiet, Howard Silverblatt, a senior analyst at Standard & Poor’s, said he has a noticed something near his office in Lower Manhattan: “The bars downtown are a little bit emptier.”